Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.102435 3.275501 3.458723 3.668123 3.902057 4.156836 4.457344
2025-04-27 2.879150 3.121491 3.391355 3.717734 4.106872 4.562912 5.148830
2025-05-04 2.733305 3.031090 3.377621 3.818959 4.379235 5.087160 6.087234
2025-05-11 2.578896 2.912702 3.315548 3.851975 4.572768 5.551960 7.079393
2025-05-18 2.426003 2.780561 3.221339 3.830774 4.691766 5.943390 8.102486
2025-05-25 2.254612 2.610557 3.062371 3.704246 4.645696 6.089035 8.800401
2025-06-01 2.133958 2.495646 2.964329 3.648746 4.692735 6.389181 9.913145
2025-06-08 2.037019 2.404187 2.889161 3.616075 4.768207 6.755407 11.373703
2025-06-15 1.966246 2.342086 2.848234 3.627671 4.914764 7.288814 13.633690
2025-06-22 1.875209 2.246758 2.753400 3.547511 4.895495 7.502038 15.267857
2025-06-29 1.782387 2.143985 2.641234 3.430133 4.795323 7.526625 16.384160
2025-07-06 1.710622 2.066729 2.561080 3.356225 4.763087 7.693768 18.288769
2025-07-13 1.667267 2.031494 2.546482 3.397582 4.972714 8.548831 25.475935
2025-07-20 1.628809 2.001260 2.537573 3.448680 5.216749 9.642287 40.929823
2025-07-27 1.602785 1.987378 2.552477 3.542975 5.575900 11.347308 108.022627
2025-08-03 1.564498 1.953432 2.533837 3.576438 5.816571 12.938122 6763.822380
2025-08-10 1.518918 1.906303 2.491120 3.561396 5.945043 14.289951 NaN
2025-08-17 1.457966 1.833491 2.402985 3.452954 5.825623 14.482105 NaN
2025-08-24 1.413528 1.783705 2.349456 3.405884 5.854615 15.490362 NaN
2025-08-31 1.376035 1.742803 2.308063 3.378359 5.930641 16.922213 NaN
2025-09-07 1.348302 1.715518 2.287427 3.389541 6.116347 19.462297 NaN
2025-09-14 1.307869 1.667111 2.228950 3.319379 6.058573 20.249770 NaN
2025-09-21 1.263879 1.611809 2.156555 3.215796 5.887402 19.945584 NaN